Strikeforce – Miami Predictions

Strikeforce – Miami takes place this Saturday, January 30th in…well you don’t need me to tell you where it’s at now do you?  Two belts will be on the line this weekend, as Nick Diaz takes on DREAM’s Marius Zaromskis for the vacant Strikeforce Welterweight belt and Cristiane “Cyborg” Santos defends her Strikeforce Women’s Middleweight belt against Marloes Coenen.  Strikeforce – Miami will also mark the Strikeforce debut for pro wrestling star Bobby Lashley and NFL standout Herschel Walker.  Should be an interesting night of fights (and entertainment).

As per the future format of MMAMoneyLine’s predictions, I will only cover the fights that have betting value.  This card in particular has a few live dogs to discuss.  Without further adeiu, here are my betting recommendations and fight analysis for Strikeforce – Miami.

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Strikeforce – Miami Pros’ Picks

 
Total
 
Nick Diaz vs.
Marius Zaromskis
Diaz
Diaz
Zaromskis
Diaz
Diaz
Zaromskis
Diaz
Diaz 71%
 
Cristiane Santos vs.
Marloes Coenen
Santos
Santos
Santos
Coenen
Santos
Santos
Santos
Santos 86%
 
Melvin Manhoef vs.
Robbie Lawler
Manhoef
Manhoef
Manhoef
Manhoef
Manhoef
Manhoef
Manhoef
Manhoef 100%
 
Bobby Lashley vs.
Wes Sims
Lashley
Lashley
Lashley
Lashley
Lashley
Lashley
Lashley
Lashley 100%
 
Herschel Walker vs.
Greg Nagy
Walker
Walker
Walker
Nagy
Walker
Walker
Nagy
Walker 71%
 
Jay Hieron vs.
Joe Riggs
Riggs
Hieron
Hieron
Hieron
Hieron
Hieron
Hieron
Hieron 86 %
 
Tiebreak
Diaz/SUB/2
Diaz/SUB/2
Zaromskis/TKO/2
Diaz/TKO/1
Diaz/KO/2
Zaromskis/TKO/2
Diaz/SUB/2
-
 
Total
4/6 (67%)
5/6 (83%)
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
5/6 (83%)
4/6 (67%)
4/6 (67%)
 

MMAAdNet

Chris Bennett Fundraiser

A few members of the online MMA world have brought the Chris Bennett fundraiser to my attention. MMAMafia (not that Mafia) has created a page to give you the backstory on this fundraiser.  Bennett is looking to compete in the Pan Am Jiu-Jitsu Championships in California and needs some financial help.  MMAMafia has gotten some pretty cool prizes together that they will be auctioning off, including autographed Shane Carwin and Efrain Escudero shirts.

I suggest everyone check out the Chris Bennett fundraiser site and try to help the young man get an opportunity to display his skills.  Most people who visit my site are MMA bettors, and simply donating the win money from one bet could give Chris the opportunity to make it to the next level.

MMAMoneyLine’s 2010 “Pros’ Picks” Contest

MMAMoneyLine's 2010

I’m a little late on getting this out to the general public, but if you frequent MMAMoneyLine’s “Pros’ Picks” section you’ve probably noticed the fact that I’ve started keeping score. This is because MMAMoneyLine is having a friendly contest that includes several respected members of the online MMA world.

As it stands, MMAMoneyLine will post “Pros’ Picks” for every UFC, WEC and Strikeforce card of 2010. At the end of 2010 I will tally up each participant’s record, calculate their win percentages and choose a winner. The winner will get a grand prize including a (not going to say the amount in public) dollar gift certificate to MMAWarehouse amongst other perks.

The 8 participants in the inaugural “Pros’ Picks” contest are Pat from MMABettingBlog, Zak from WatchKalibRun, Steve from MMAConvert, Zeus (or sometimes Shane Carwin or another Twitter follower of his) from MiddleEasy, Jordan from MMAAdNet, Josh from MMAValor, Mike from MMAMafia and myself…Eric from MMAMoneyLine.

The “Pros’ Picks” section of MMAMoneyLine is a great tool for MMA bettors to see where knowledgeable MMA fans, bloggers and journalists stand.  I respect the opinion and analysis of every one of these people participating in this competition.  It should also be interesting to see who has the “best eye” in the MMA blogosphere.  Being able to consistently pick winners can make a man some serious money!

I strongly suggest making MMAMoneyLine’s “Pros’ Picks” a must read before any MMA event, especially if you are an avid sports bettor.  Hopefully you enjoy the contest and it helps with your research.  Here is the leaderboard (by popular demand) for 2010 thus far:

 
 

 
 
UFC Fight Night 20
8-2
8-2
9-1
7-3
4-6
8-2
7-3
7-3
 
WEC 46
6-4
5-5
5-4
7-3
9-1
6-4
7-3
8-2
 
UFC 108
-
8-2
7-3
4-6
6-4
5-5
7-3
7-3
 
Total
14-6 (70%)
21-9 (70%)
21-8 (72%)
18-12 (60%)
19-11 (63%)
19-11 (63%)
21-9 (70%)
22-8 (73%)
 

UFC Fight Night 20 Pros’ Picks

 
Total
 
Gray Maynard vs.
Nate Diaz
Maynard
Maynard
Maynard
Maynard
Diaz
Maynard
Maynard
Maynard 86%
 
Amir Sadollah vs.
Brad Blackburn
Blackburn
Blackburn
Sadollah
Sadollah
Blackburn
Sadollah
Blackburn
Blackburn 57%
 
Efrain Escudero vs.
Evan Dunham
Dunham
Escudero
Escudero
Escudero
Escudero
Escudero
Escudero
Escudero 86%
 
Aaron Simpson vs.
Tom Lawlor
Simpson
Simpson
Simpson
Simpson
Lawlor
Simpson
Simpson
Simpson 86%
 
Thiago Tavares vs.
Nik Lentz
Tavares
Tavares
Tavares
Tavares
Tavares
Tavares
Tavares
Tavares 100 %
 
Gerlad Harris vs.
John Salter
Harris
Harris
Harris
Salter
Harris
Harris
Harris
Harris 86%
 
Jay Silva vs.
Chris Leben
Leben
Leben
Leben
Silva
Leben
Leben
Leben
Leben 86%
 
Mike Guymon vs.
Rory MacDonald
MacDonald
MacDonald
MacDonald
MacDonald
Guymon
MacDonald
Guymon
MacDonald 71%
 
Rafael dos Anjos vs.
Kyle Bradley
dos Anjos
dos Anjos
dos Anjos
dos Anjos
dos Anjos
dos Anjos
dos Anjos
dos Anjos 100%
 
Rick Story vs.
Jesse Lennox
Lennox
Story
Story
Story
Story
Lennox
Story
Story 71%
 
Nick Catone vs.
Jesse Forbes
Catone
Catone
Catone
Catone
Forbes
Catone
Catone
Catone 86%
 
Tiebreak
Maynard/UD
Maynard/UD
Maynard/UD
Maynard/TKO/2
Diaz/SUB/2
Maynard/UD
Maynard/UD
-
 
Total
8/10 (80%)
8/10 (80%)
9/10 (90%)
7/10 (70%)
4/10 (40%)
8/10 (80%)
7/10 (70%)
 

MMAAdNet

WEC 46 Pros’ Picks

 
Total
 
Jamie Varner vs.
Ben Henderson
Varner
Varner
Henderson
Henderson
Henderson
Varner
Henderson
Henderson 57%
 
Urijah Faber vs.
Raphael Assuncao
Faber
Faber
Faber
Faber
Faber
Faber
Faber
Faber 100%
 
Mike Brown vs.
Anthony Morrison
Brown
Brown
Brown
Brown
Brown
Brown
Brown
Brown 100%
 
Dave Jansen vs.
Kamal Shalorus
Shalorus
Jensen
Jansen
Jansen
Jansen
Shalorus
Shalorus
Jansen 57%
 
Mackens Semerzier vs.
Deividas Taurosevicius
Taurosevicius
Semerzier
Semerzier
Taurosevicius
Taurosevicius
Semerzier
Taurosevicius
Taurosevicius 57%
 
Akitoshi Tamura vs.
Charlie Valencia
Tamura
Tamura
Tamura
Valencia
Valencia
Tamura
Tamura
Tamura 71%
 
Mark Hominick vs.
Bryan Caraway
Hominick
Hominick
Hominick
Hominick
Hominick
Hominick
Caraway
Hominick 86%
 
Eddie Wineland vs.
George Roop
Roop
Wineland
Wineland
Roop
Wineland
Wineland
Roop
Wineland 57%
 
Wagnney Fabiano vs.
Clint Godfrey
Fabiano
Fabiano
-
Fabiano
Fabiano
Fabiano
Fabiano
Fabiano 100%
 
Coty Wheeler vs.
Will Campuzano
Wheeler
Wheeler
Wheeler
Wheeler
Campuzano
Wheeler
Campuzano
Wheeler 71%
 
Tiebreak
Varner/UD
Varner/UD
Henderson/UD
Henderson/TKO/3
Henderson/SUB/3
Varner/TKO/4
Henderson/UD
-
 
Total
6/10 (60%)
5/10 (50%)
5/9 (56%)
7/10 (70%)
9/10 (90%)
6/10 (60%)
7/10 (70%)
 

MMAAdNet

UFC Fight Night 20 Predictions

UFC Fight Night 20 Poster

UFC Fight Night 20 – Maynard VS. Diaz takes place this Monday, January 11 in Fairfax, Virginia.  The main event features a Lightweight tilt when top contender Gray Maynard takes on the always dangerous Nate Diaz.  Also in action is the TUF 7 winner Amir Sadollah and TUF 8 king Efrain Escudero.

Unlike this weekend’s WEC event, UFC Fight Night 20 has much fewer solid betting opportunities.  However, there are still some fight lines that warrant a real hard look.  As per the future format of MMAMoneyLine’s predictions, I will only cover the fights that have betting value.  You don’t need me to tell you that a -500 favorite is going to beat a can.  I will post my official picks and wagers at the bottom of the post.  Here is MMAMoneyLine’s official analysis and betting recommendations for UFC Fight Night 20.

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WEC 46 Predictions

WEC 46 Poster

WEC 46 – Varner VS. Henderson takes place this Sunday, January 10th in Sacramento, CA.  The main event features a WEC Lightweight title unification bout between champion Jamie Varner and interim champ Ben Henderson.  Former WEC Featherweight champions Urijah Faber and Mike Brown are also looking to make their way back up the ladder for a future fight with Jose Aldo.

WEC 46 has some very lucrative wagering opportunities…perhaps more than any recent fight card.  As per the future format of MMAMoneyLine’s predictions, I will only cover the fights that have betting value.  You don’t need me to tell you that a -500 favorite is going to beat a can.  I will post my official picks and wagers at the bottom of the post.  Here is MMAMoneyLine’s official analysis and betting recommendations for WEC 46.

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UFC 108 Pros’ Picks

 
Total
 
Rashad Evans vs.
Thiago Silva
Silva
Evans
Evans
Evans
Silva
Silva
Evans
Evans 57%
 
Dustin Hazelett vs.
Paul Daley
Daley
Hazelett
Hazelett
Daley
Daley
Hazelett
Daley
Daley 57%
 
Joe Lauzon vs.
Sam Stout
Lauzon
Lauzon
Lauzon
Lauzon
Lauzon
Lauzon
Lauzon
Lauzon 100%
 
Jim Miller vs.
Duane Ludwig
Miller
Miller
Miller
Ludwig
Miller
Miller
Miller
Miller 86%
 
Junior dos Santos vs.
Gilbert Yvel
dos Santos
dos Santos
dos Santos
Yvel
Yvel
dos Santos
Yvel
dos Santos 57%
 
Martin Kampmann vs.
Jacob Volkmann
Kampmann
Kampmann
Kampmann
Kampmann
Kampmann
Kampmann
Volkmann
Kampmann 86%
 
Cole Miller vs.
Dan Lauzon
Miller
Miller
Lauzon
Lauzon
Miller
Lauzon
Miller
Miller 57%
 
Mark Munoz vs.
Ryan Jensen
Munoz
Munoz
Munoz
Munoz
Munoz
Munoz
Munoz
Munoz 100%
 
Jake Ellenberger vs.
Mike Pyle
Ellenberger
Ellenberger
Ellenberger
Pyle
Pyle
Ellenberger
Ellenberger
Ellenberger 71%
 
Rafaello Oliveira vs.
John Gunderson
Gunderson
Oliveira
Oliveira
Gunderson
Oliveira
Gunderson
Oliveira
Oliveira 57%
 
Tiebreak
Silva/TKO/1
Evans/UD
Evans/TKO/2
Evans/TKO/3
Silva/TKO/2
Silva/TKO/2
Evans/TKO/1
-
 
Total
7/10 (70%)
8/10 (80%)
7/10 (70%)
4/10 (40%)
6/10 (60%)
5/10 (50%)
7/10 (70%)
 

WatchKalibRun

UFC 108 Predictions

UFC 108 – Evans VS. Silva takes place Saturday, January 2nd in Las Vegas, Nevada.  The UFC’s first card of the new decade has certainly been hit with some devastating blows, with several main events, main card fights and undercard fights getting canceled or changed.  I believe this fight still has several intriguing matchups that will cater to all walks of MMA fan…so don’t write it off yet!

For my UFC 108 predictions, I am only going to cover the fights that I believe have betting value. Because of the generally well placed lines and unpredictability of UFC 108, only three fights have betting value in my opinion.  Here are those fights and official analysis from MMAMoneyLine. If you want to know where I stand on the rest of the fights, see MMAMoneyLine’s “Pros’ Picks” for UFC 108.

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UFC ON VERSUS 1 – VERA VS. JONES – MARCH 21, 2010

 
 
Jon Jones
-240
-240
-240
-240
-225
-240
-240
-240
-240
-263
Brandon Vera
+200
+190
+190
+190
+185
+190
+190
+200
+190
+180
 
Junior dos Santos
-265
-295
-290
-300
-265
-295
-295
-265
-265
-357
Gabriel Gonzaga
+225
+235
+230
+220
+205
+235
+235
+225
+205
+225
 
Cheick Kongo
-400
-410
-450
-400
-365
-410
-410
-400
-365
-500
Paul Buentello
+325
+310
+325
+300
+285
+310
+310
+325
+285
+305
 
James Irvin
-110
-115
-
-125
-130
-115
-115
-120
-135
-128
Alessio Sakara
-110
-115
-
-105
EVEN
-115
-115
EVEN
+105
-108
 
Clay Guida
-420
-405
-
-400
-500
-405
-405
-420
-500
-435
Shannon Gugerty
+335
+305
-
+300
+325
+305
+305
+335
+300
+275
 
John Howard
-210
-190
-
-220
-205
-190
-190
-210
-200
-250
Daniel Roberts
+175
+150
-
+175
+165
+150
+150
+175
+160
+175
 
Brendan Schaub
-250
-275
-
-260
-275
-275
-275
-250
-265
-263
Chase Gormley
+210
+215
-
+200
+215
+215
+215
+210
+205
+180
 
Mike Pierce
-450
-550
-
-500
-550
-550
-550
-475
-600
-500
Julio Paulino
+360
+400
-
+350
+375
+400
+400
+380
+400
+300
 
Vladimir Matyushenko
-165
-165
-
-200
-185
-165
-165
-165
-185
-175
Eliot Marshall
+145
+135
-
+160
+155
+135
+135
+145
+155
+125
 
Duane Ludwig
-155
-165
-
-180
-170
-165
-165
-165
-155
-
Darren Elkins
+135
+135
-
+150
+140
+135
+135
+145
+125
-
 
Jason Brilz
-150
-151
-
-160
-150
-151
-151
-150
-135
-159
Eric Schafer
+130
+121
-
+130
+120
+121
+121
+130
+105
+115
 

Best Odds Updated 3/21/10 1:22 PM EST My Picks The Pros’ Picks

UFC 113 – MACHIDA VS. SHOGUN II – MAY 8, 2010

 
 
Lyoto Machida
-190
-214
-215
-200
-200
-214
-214
-190
-196
Mauricio Rua
+165
+174
+160
+160
+174
+174
+165
+150
+140
 
Josh Koscheck
-270
-315
-300
-275
-315
-315
-270
-265
-250
Paul Daley
+230
+240
+190
+215
+230
+205
+175
 
Kimbo Slice
-110
-105
-110
-110
-110
-110
-115
-118
Matt Mitrione
-120
-125
-120
-120
-120
-120
-118
 
Sam Stout
-205
-210
-250
-205
-205
-250
Jeremy Stephens
+170
+165
+160
+165
+165
+165
+170
+160
+175
 
Alan Belcher
-115
-115
-125
-115
-115
-111
Patrick Cote
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-120
-125
 
Tom Lawlor
-600
-615
-600
-600
-615
-615
-600
-600
-588
Joe Doerksen
+450
+350
+400
+400
+450
+400
+350
 
Marcus Davis
-450
-500
-500
-500
-450
-500
-556
Jonathan Goulet
+335
+350
+350
+325
+335
+335
+300
+330
 
Yoshiyuki Yoshida
-275
-280
-300
-260
-275
-275
-295
-278
Mike Guymon
+215
+215
+220
+220
+200
+215
+215
+215
+190
 
Johny Hendricks
-400
-450
-450
-525
-400
-500
-500
TJ Grant
+325
+300
+325
+325
+300
+300
+325
+300
+305
 
Jason MacDonald
-180
-168
-170
-168
-168
-180
-170
-185
John Salter
+138
+135
+135
+140
+138
+138
+140
+133
 
Tim Hague
-230
-245
-240
-250
-245
-245
-230
-260
-250
Joey Beltran
+190
+195
+180
+190
+190
+195
+195
+190
+175
 

Best Odds Updated 5/8/10 3:58 PM EST My Picks The Pros’ Picks

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